Y2K and the US Health System

by Benjamin Chu, M.D.

(Presented at the 1999 CAMS Annual Scientific Meeting

The following is an outline of Dr. Chu’s talk, from his powerpoint presentation.

Stresses on the Health System - In-creasing fragmentation?

• Physicians

• Hospitals/Hospital systems/Academic Health Centers

• Insurers/Payers

• Government Payers - Medicare and Medicaid, child Health Plus

• Wall Street

• Patients

Major Themes

•Search for value in health Care

•Market driven efficiencies and the influence of Wall Street

•Integration/Disintegration/Devolution

•Oversupply of physicians and hospitals

•The end of cost shifting and the problem of the uninsured

Physicians

The migration to groups

• IPA’s, unions, bargaining agents

•Practice management company debacles - Med-partners, FHP

•Gatekeepers, capitation and the effects of the doctor-patient relationship

Hospital Systems

Integration strategies - do they work?

• Mergers, Acquisitions and the flow of red ink

• Market presence or true efficiencies

• For profits and not-for-profit look-alikes - Columbia/HCA and Allegheny

• Five large systems in New York? Where are the doctors?

Insurers/Payers

Managed care as hit man to take out cost in healthcare system

• system wide backlash - Bill of Rights, Right to sue - the return of choice

• United Health elimination of pre-authorization - enlightened strategy for survival?

• the end of arbitrage opportunity - Now where is the beef?

 

Government Payers

Medicare cuts, negative growth rates and the politics of a senior drug benefit

• Medicaid enrollment loses and lost opportunities

•Managed Care - promise and pitfalls

• Child Health Plus

• The uninsured - billions available, millions go without

The Influence of Wall Street and the For-Profit Sector

• Return on Investment and the market capitulation game

• Market definitions of value - Does growth = value?

•Columbia/HCA, Oxford and Physician Practice Management companies

Academic Health Centers - Big Problems in Paradise

• Internet Cost disadvantage

•Victim of success - Community hospital expertise

• GME cuts and loss of subsidies

•Cultures, egos and difficult decisions

•High visibility, political muscia, powerful boards, efficiencies - prescription for survival?

 

Dr. Chu is Associate Den for Clinical Affairs and Associate Professor of Clinical Medicine, New York University Medical School.